Trump will spend tonight at a rally in Miami with Sens. Trump hasn’t budged: His support was 49% in January and 49% in October. In POLITICO-Morning Consult polling about the 2024 Republican presidential field, DeSantis has gained 10 points this year, moving from 14% in January to 24% in October. RON DESANTIS’ reelection in Florida, Trump unveiled a new nickname for his top 2024 GOP rival: “Ron DeSanctimonious.” Trump snuck in the dig, which Maggie Haberman notes was previously test-marketed by ROGER STONE, during a Pennsylvania rally as he read the results of an old poll about the 2024 GOP field that showed him with an enormous lead over DeSantis that has now evaporated. “47% of all voters say they want a ‘great deal’ of change in direction from the way in which BIDEN has been leading the country - higher than what the poll showed for the first midterms for DONALD TRUMP (44%), BARACK OBAMA (41%) and BILL CLINTON (36%), all of which resulted in election drubbings for those past presidents.”Ģ024 WATCH - On the eve of Gov. An identical 73% of Democrats and Republicans express high interest, registering either a ‘9’ or ‘10’ on a 10-point scale.” No gap in enthusiasm: “Democrats have caught up to Republicans in election interest. Among likely voters, 48% “prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress … while 47% prefer a Republican-controlled Congress.” “Among all registered voters, congressional preference is tied at 47%-47% - essentially unchanged from last month, when Democrats held a narrow 1-point edge, 47%-46%.” JUST POSTED - The final NBC News poll is out. Of the 5 million or so Georgians who voted in the 2020 election, about 2.7 million have yet to cast a ballot, per Niesse - which suggests that thousands of early voters this year did not participate in 2020. Possible good news for Dems: AJC’s Mark Niesse notes that “Black voters account for 29% of early voters,” which outpaces the Black electorate’s share of the overall vote in 2020 (when they made up just over 27%). Combining the early in-person votes with mail-in ballots, more than 2.5 million ballots have been cast.
Georgia: The early voting period ended on Friday with a total of 2,288,889 ballots cast - shattering the state’s early vote record for a midterm (and outpacing the 2016 election, for that matter), per the secretary of state. Republicans feel confident they will win Election Day, so this is a bleak scenario for Dems.” One possible hope for Dems: “It’s all about the mail now.” Forget that the firewall is down that is a real red flag for the Dems.” Also this: “Repubs are at worst tied in all of the models right now, and if they are winning indies at all, they are ahead. That is 4.5 percent below its share of the overall vote.
Clark County, the Democrats’ power base in the state, “is only 66.6 percent of the vote that is in. Nevada: “Dems should be concerned,” The Nevada Independent’s Jon Ralston writes in a thorough dissection of that state’s numbers. … “Number of early votes cast surpasses early-vote total in 2018 midterm election,” WaPo’s Patrick Marley and Lenny Bronner … 39,272,372 early votes as of 1:16 a.m., per the United States Elections Project. | Nicole Neri/AP Photo DRIVING THE DAYĪLMOST THERE - 2 days left until Election Day. Early voting this year has officially passed the early vote numbers for 2018.
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